Help on Victoria Case Essay

The second stage of the production process compounded the basic polypropylene with stabilizers, modifiers, fillers, and pigments to achieve the desired attributes for a particular customer. The finished plastic was extruded into pellets for shipment to the customer. The Merseyside Works production process was old, semicontinuous at best, and, therefore, higher in labor content than its competitors’ newer plants. The Merseyside Works plant was constructed in 1967.

Victoria Chemicals produced polypropylene at Merseyside Works and in Rotterdam, Holland. The two plants were of identical scale, age, and design. The managers of both plants reported to James Fawn, executive vice president and manager of the Intermediate Chemicals Group (ICG) of Victoria Chemicals. The company positioned itself as a supplier to customers in Europe and the Middle East. The strategic-analysis staff estimated that, in addition to numerous small producers, seven major competitors manufactured polypropylene in Victoria Chemicals’ market region. Their plants operated at various cost levels. Exhibit 1 presents a comparison of plant sizes and indexed costs.

The Proposed Capital Program
Morris had assumed responsibility for the Merseyside Works only 12 months previously, following a rapid rise from the entry position of shift engineer nine years before. When she assumed responsibility, she undertook a detailed review of the operations and discovered significant opportunities for improvement in polypropylene production. Some of those opportunities stemmed from the deferral of maintenance over the preceding five years. In an effort to enhance the operating results of Merseyside Works, the previous manager had limited capital expenditures to only the most essential. Now what previously had been routine and deferrable was becoming essential. Other opportunities stemmed from correcting the antiquated plant design in ways that would save energy and improve the process flow: (1) relocating and modernizing tank-car unloading areas, which would enable the process flow to be streamlined; (2) refurbishing the polymerization tank to achieve higher pressures and thus greater throughput; and (3) renovating the compounding plant to increase extrusion throughput and obtain energy savings.

Morris proposed an expenditure of GBP12 million on this program. The entire polymerization line would need to be shut down for 45 days, however, and because the Rotterdam plant was operating near capacity, Merseyside Works’ customers would buy from competitors. Greystock believed the loss of customers would not be permanent. The benefits

This document is authorized for use by Derrick Hagman, from 9/19/2013 to
12/19/2013, in the course: FIN 437: Corporate Asset Management– Chhachhi (Fall, 2013), Western Kentucky University. Any unauthorized use or reproduction of this document is strictly prohibited.

-3-

UVA-F-1543

would be a lower energy requirement1 as well as a 7% greater manufacturing throughput. In addition, the project was expected to improve gross margin (before depreciation and energy savings) from 11.5% to 12.5%. The engineering group at Merseyside Works was highly confident that the efficiencies would be realized.

Merseyside Works currently produced 250,000 metric tons of polypropylene pellets a year. Currently, the price of polypropylene averaged GBP675 per ton for Victoria Chemicals’ product mix. The tax rate required in capital-expenditure analyses was 30%. Greystock discovered that any plant facilities to be replaced had been completely depreciated. New assets could be depreciated on an accelerated basis2 over 15 years, the expected life of the assets. The increased throughput would necessitate an increase of work-in-process inventory equal in value to 3.0% of cost of goods. Greystock included in the first year of his forecast preliminary engineering costs of GBP500,000 spent over the preceding nine months on efficiency and design studies of the renovation. Finally, the corporate manual stipulated that overhead costs be reflected in project analyses at the rate of 3.5% times the book value of assets acquired in the project per year.3

Greystock had produced the discounted-cash-flow (DCF) summary given in Exhibit 2. It suggested that the capital program would easily hurdle Victoria Chemicals’ required return of 10% for engineering projects.

Concerns of the Transport Division
Victoria Chemicals owned the tank cars with which Merseyside Works received propylene gas from four petroleum refineries in England. The Transport
Division, a cost center, oversaw the movement of all raw, intermediate, and finished materials throughout the company and was responsible for managing the tank cars. Because of the project’s increased throughput, the Transport Division would have to increase its allocation of tank cars to Merseyside Works. 1

Greystock characterized the energy savings as a percentage of sales and assumed that the savings would be equal to 1.25% of sales in the first 5 years and 0.75% in years 6–10. Thereafter, without added aggressive green spending, the energy efficiency of the plant would revert to its old level, and the savings would be zero. He believed that the decision to make further environmentally oriented investments was a separate choice (and one that should be made much later) and, therefore, that to include such benefits (of a presumably later investment decision) in the project being considered today would be inappropriate.

2
The company’s capital-expenditure manual suggested the use of double-declining-balance (DDB) depreciation, even though other more aggressive procedures might be permitted by the tax code. The reason for this policy was to discourage jockeying for corporate approvals based on tax provisions that could apply differently for different projects and divisions. Prior to senior-management’s approval, the controller’s staff would present an independent analysis of special tax effects that might apply. Division managers, however, were discouraged from relying heavily on those effects. In applying the DDB approach, accelerated depreciation was used until the straightline calculation gave a higher number at which point depreciation was calculated on a straight-line basis. The conversion to straight line was commonly done so that the asset would depreciate fully within its economic life. 3

The corporate-policy manual stated that new projects should be able to sustain a reasonable proportion of corporate overhead expense. Projects that were so marginal as to be unable to sustain those expenses and also meet the other criteria of investment attractiveness should not be undertaken. Thus,
all new capital projects should reflect an annual pretax charge amounting to 3.5% of the value of the initial asset investment for the project.

This document is authorized for use by Derrick Hagman, from 9/19/2013 to 12/19/2013, in the course: FIN 437: Corporate Asset Management– Chhachhi (Fall, 2013), Western Kentucky University. Any unauthorized use or reproduction of this document is strictly prohibited.

-4-

UVA-F-1543

Currently, the Transport Division could make this allocation out of excess capacity, although doing so would accelerate from 2012 to 2010 the need to purchase new rolling stock to support the anticipated growth of the firm in other areas. The purchase was estimated to be GBP2 million in 2010. The rolling stock would have a depreciable life of 10 years,4 but with proper maintenance, the cars could operate much longer. The rolling stock could not be used outside Britain because of differences in track gauge.

A memorandum from the controller of the Transport Division suggested that the cost of the tank cars should be included in the initial outlay of Merseyside Works’ capital program. But Greystock disagreed. He told Morris:

The Transport Division isn’t paying one pence of actual cash because of what we’re doing at Merseyside. In fact, we’re doing the company a favor in using its excess capacity. Even if an allocation has to be made somewhere, it should go on the Transport Division’s books. The way we’ve always evaluated projects in this company has been with the philosophy of “every tub on its own bottom”—every division has to fend for itself. The Transport Division isn’t part of our own Intermediate Chemicals Group, so they should carry the allocation of rolling stock.

Accordingly, Greystock had not reflected any charge for the use of excess rolling stock in his preliminary DCF analysis, given in Exhibit 2.
The Transport Division and Intermediate Chemicals Group reported to separate executive vice presidents, who reported to the chairman and chief executive officer of the company. The executive vice presidents received an annual incentive bonus pegged to the performance of their divisions.

Concerns of the ICG Sales and Marketing Department
Greystock’s analysis had led to questions from the director of sales. In a recent meeting, the director had told Greystock:
Your analysis assumes that we can sell the added output and thus obtain the full efficiencies from the project, but as you know, the market for polypropylene is extremely competitive. Right now, the industry is in a downturn and it looks like an oversupply is in the works. This means that we will probably have to shift capacity away from Rotterdam toward Merseyside in order to move the added volume. Is this really a gain for Victoria Chemicals? Why spend money just so one plant can cannibalize another?

4

The transport division depreciated rolling stock using DDB depreciation for the first eight years and straightline depreciation for the last two years.

This document is authorized for use by Derrick Hagman, from 9/19/2013 to 12/19/2013, in the course: FIN 437: Corporate Asset Management– Chhachhi (Fall, 2013), Western Kentucky University. Any unauthorized use or reproduction of this document is strictly prohibited.

-5-

UVA-F-1543

The vice president of marketing was less skeptical. He said that with lower costs at Merseyside Works, Victoria Chemicals might be able to take business from the plants of competitors such as Saône-Poulet or Vaysol. In the current severe recession, competitors would fight hard to keep customers, but sooner or later the market would revive, and it would be reasonable to
assume that any lost business volume would return at that time.

Greystock had listened to both the director and the vice president and chose to reflect no charge for a loss of business at Rotterdam in his preliminary analysis of the Merseyside project. He told Morris:

Cannibalization really isn’t a cash flow; there is no check written in this instance. Anyway, if the company starts burdening its cost-reduction projects with fictitious charges like this, we’ll never maintain our cost competitiveness. A cannibalization charge is rubbish!

Concerns of the Assistant Plant Manager
Griffin Tewitt, the assistant plant manager and Morris’s direct subordinate, proposed an unusual modification to Greystock’s analysis during a late-afternoon meeting with Greystock and Morris. Over the past few months, Tewitt had been absorbed with the development of a proposal to modernize a separate and independent part of the Merseyside Works, the production line for ethylene-propylene-copolymer rubber (EPC). This product, a variety of synthetic rubber, had been pioneered by Victoria Chemicals in the early 1960s and was sold in bulk to European tire manufacturers. Despite hopes that this oxidation-resistant rubber would dominate the market in synthetics, EPC remained a relatively small product in the European chemical industry. Victoria Chemicals, the largest supplier of EPC, produced the entire volume at Merseyside Works. EPC had been only marginally profitable to Victoria Chemicals because of the entry by competitors and the development of competing synthetic-rubber compounds over the past five years.

Tewitt had proposed a renovation of the EPC production line at a cost of GBP1 million. The renovation would give Victoria Chemicals the lowest EPC cost base in the world and would improve cash flows by GBP25,000 ad infinitum. Even so, at current prices and volumes, the net present value (NPV) of this project was ?GBP750,000. Tewitt and the EPC product manager had argued strenuously to the company’s executive committee that the negative NPV ignored strategic advantages from the project and increases in volume and prices when the recession ended. Nevertheless, the executive committee had
rejected the project, basing its rejection mainly on economic grounds.

In a hushed voice, Tewitt said to Morris and Greystock:
Why don’t you include the EPC project as part of the polypropylene line renovations? The positive NPV of the poly renovations can easily sustain the

This document is authorized for use by Derrick Hagman, from 9/19/2013 to 12/19/2013, in the course: FIN 437: Corporate Asset Management– Chhachhi (Fall, 2013), Western Kentucky University. Any unauthorized use or reproduction of this document is strictly prohibited.

-6-

UVA-F-1543

negative NPV of the EPC project. This is an extremely important project to the company, a point that senior management doesn’t seem to get. If we invest now, we’ll be ready to exploit the market when the recession ends. If we don’t invest now, you can expect that we will have to exit the business altogether in three years. Do you look forward to more layoffs? Do you want to manage a shrinking plant? Recall that our annual bonuses are pegged to the size of this operation. Also remember that, in the last 20 years, no one from corporate has monitored renovation projects once the investment decision was made.

Concerns of the Treasury Staff
After a meeting on a different matter, Greystock described his dilemmas to Andrew Gowan, who worked as an analyst on Victoria Chemicals’ treasury staff. Gowan scanned Greystock’s analysis and pointed out:

Cash flows and discount rate need to be consistent in their assumptions about inflation. The 10% hurdle rate you’re using is a nominal target rate of return. The Treasury staff thinks this impounds a long-term inflation expectation of 3% per year. Thus, Victoria Chemicals’ real (that is, zero inflation) target rate of return is 7%.

The conversation was interrupted before Greystock could gain full understanding of Gowan’s comment. For the time being, Greystock decided to continue to use a discount rate of 10% because it was the figure promoted in the latest edition of Victoria Chemicals’ capital-budgeting manual.

Evaluating Capital-Expenditure Proposals at Victoria Chemicals In submitting a project for senior management’s approval, the project’s initiators had to identify it as belonging to one of four possible categories: (1) new product or market, (2) product or market extension, (3) engineering efficiency, or (4) safety or environment. The first three categories of proposals were subject to a system of four performance “hurdles,” of which at least three had to be met for the proposal to be considered. The Merseyside project would be in the engineering-efficiency category.

1. Impact on earnings per share: For engineering-efficiency projects, the contribution to net income from contemplated projects had to be positive. This criterion was calculated as the average annual earnings per share (EPS) contribution of the project over its entire economic life, using the number of outstanding shares at the most recent fiscal year-end (FYE) as the basis for the calculation. (At FYE2007, Victoria Chemicals had 92,891,240 shares outstanding.)

This document is authorized for use by Derrick Hagman, from 9/19/2013 to 12/19/2013, in the course: FIN 437: Corporate Asset Management– Chhachhi (Fall, 2013), Western Kentucky University. Any unauthorized use or reproduction of this document is strictly prohibited.

-7-

UVA-F-1543

2. Payback: This criterion was defined as the number of years necessary for free cash flow of the project to amortize the initial project outlay completely. For engineering-efficiency projects, the maximum payback period
was six years.

3. Discounted cash flow: DCF was defined as the present value of future cash flows of the project (at the hurdle rate of 10% for engineering-efficiency proposals) less the initial investment outlay. This net present value of free cash flows had to be positive. 4. Internal rate of return: IRR was defined as being the discount rate at which the present value of future free cash flows just equaled the initial outlay—in other words, the rate at which the NPV was zero. The IRR of engineering-efficiency projects had to be greater than 10%.

Conclusion
Morris wanted to review Greystock’s analysis in detail and settle the questions surrounding the tank cars and the potential loss of business volume at Rotterdam. As Greystock’s analysis now stood, the Merseyside project met all four investment criteria: 1. Average annual addition to EPS = GBP0.022

2. Payback period = 3.8 years
3. Net present value = GBP10.6 million
4. Internal rate of return = 24.3%
Morris was concerned that further tinkering might seriously weaken the attractiveness of the project.

This document is authorized for use by Derrick Hagman, from 9/19/2013 to 12/19/2013, in the course: FIN 437: Corporate Asset Management– Chhachhi (Fall, 2013), Western Kentucky University. Any unauthorized use or reproduction of this document is strictly prohibited.

-8-

UVA-F-1543

Exhibit 1
VICTORIA CHEMICALS PLC (A): THE MERSEYSIDE PROJECT
Comparative Information on the Seven Largest Polypropylene Plants in Europe

Plant Location

Year Plant Built

Plant Annual Output
(in metric tons)

Production Cost per Ton
(indexed to low-cost
producer)

CBTG A.G

Saarbrün

1981

350,000

1.00

Victoria Chemicals

Liverpool

1967

250,000

1.09

Victoria Chemicals

Rotterdam

1967

250,000

1.09

Hosche A.G.

Hamburg

1977

300,000

1.02

Montecassino SpA

Genoa

1961

120,000

1.11

Saône-Poulet S.A.

Marseille

1972

175,000

1.07

Vaysol S.A.

Antwerp

1976

220,000

1.06

450,000

1.19

Next 10 largest plants
Source: Case writer analysis.

This document is authorized for use by Derrick Hagman, from 9/19/2013 to 12/19/2013, in the course: FIN 437: Corporate Asset Management– Chhachhi (Fall, 2013), Western Kentucky University. Any unauthorized use or reproduction of this document is strictly prohibited.

-9-

UVA-F-1543

Exhibit 2
VICTORIA CHEMICALS PLC (A): THE MERSEYSIDE PROJECT
Greystock’s DCF Analysis of the Merseyside Project (financial values in millions of GBP) This document is authorized for use by Derrick Hagman, from 9/19/2013 to 12/19/2013, in the course: FIN 437: Corporate Asset Management– Chhachhi (Fall, 2013), Western Kentucky University. Any
unauthorized use or reproduction of this document is strictly prohibited.

Assumptions
Annual Output (metric tons)
Output Gain/Original Output
Price/ton (pounds sterling)
Inflation Rate (prices and costs)
Gross Margin (ex. Deprec.)
Old Gross Margin
Energy Savings/Sales
Yr. 1-5
Yr. 6-10
Yr. 11-15

250,000
7.0%
675
0.0%
12.50%
11.5%
1.25%
0.75%
0.0%

1
2008
Year
Now
1. Estimate of Incremental Gross Profit
New Output (tons)
267,500
Lost Output–Construction
(33,438)
New Sales (Millions)
157.99
New Gross Margin
13.8%
New Gross Profit
21.72
Old Output
Old Sales
Old Gross Profit
Incremental Gross Profit

NPV =
IRR =

2
2009

3
2010

4
2011

5
2012

10.0%
30%
12.0
15
0
3.0%
1.5
0.5
3.5%
6
2013

7
2014

8
2015

9
2016

10
2017

11
2018

12
2019

13
2020

14
2021

15
2022

267,500

267,500

267,500

267,500

267,500

267,500

267,500

267,500

267,500

267,500

267,500

267,500

267,500

267,500

180.56
13.8%
24.83

180.56
13.8%
24.83

180.56
13.8%
24.83

180.56
13.8%
24.83

180.56
13.3%
23.92

180.56
13.3%
23.92

180.56
13.3%
23.92

180.56
13.3%
23.92

180.56
13.3%
23.92

180.56
12.5%
22.57

180.56
12.5%
22.57

180.56
12.5%
22.57

180.56
12.5%
22.57

180.56
12.5%
22.57

250,000
168.75
19.41
5.42

250,000
168.75
19.41
5.42

250,000
168.75
19.41
5.42

250,000
168.75
19.41
5.42

250,000
168.75
19.41
4.52

250,000
168.75
19.41
4.52

250,000
168.75
19.41
4.52

250,000
168.75
19.41
4.52

250,000
168.75
19.41
4.52

250,000
168.75
19.41
3.16

250,000
168.75
19.41
3.16

250,000
168.75
19.41
3.16

250,000
168.75
19.41
3.16

250,000
168.75
19.41
3.16

4.09
4.48
-0.39

4.67
4.48
0.19

4.67
4.48
0.19

4.67
4.48
0.19

4.67
4.48
0.19

4.70
4.48
0.22

4.70
4.48
0.22

4.70
4.48
0.22

4.70
4.48
0.22

4.70
4.48
0.22

4.74
4.48
0.26

4.74
4.48
0.26

4.74
4.48
0.26

4.74
4.48
0.26

4.74
4.48
0.26

1.60
0.42
0.50
-0.20

1.39
0.42

1.20
0.42

1.04
0.42

0.90
0.42

0.78
0.42

0.68
0.42

0.59
0.42

0.55
0.42

0.55
0.42

0.55
0.42

0.55
0.42

0.55
0.42

0.55
0.42

0.55
0.42

3.61

3.80

3.96

4.10

3.32

3.42

3.51

3.55

3.55

2.20

2.20

2.20

2.20

2.20

1.60
0.39
1.85

1.39
-0.58
3.33

1.20
0.00
3.86

1.04
0.00
3.81

0.90
0.00
3.77

0.78
-0.03
3.08

0.68
0.00
3.07

0.59
0.00
3.05

0.55
0.00
3.03

0.55
0.00
3.03

0.55
-0.04
2.04

0.55
0.00
2.08

0.55
0.00
2.08

0.55
0.00
2.08

0.55
0.26
2.34

250,000
168.75
19.41
2.32

2. Estimate of Incremental WIP inventory
New WIP inventory
Old WIP inventory
Incremental WIP inventory
3. Estimate of Incremental Depreciation
New Depreciation
4. Overhead
5. Prelim. Engineering Costs
Pretax Incremental Profit
6. Cash Flow Adjustments
-12.00
Less Capital Expenditur
Add back Depreciation
Less Added WIP inventory
7. Free Cash Flow
-12.00

Discount rate
Tax Rate
Investment Outlay (mill.)
Depreciable Life (years)
Salvage Value
WIP Inventory/Cost of Goods
Months Downtime, Construction
Preliminary Engineering Costs
Overhead/Investment

£10.57
24.3%

Source: Created by case writer using fictitious data.